Each week during the NFL season, we’ll analyze the box scores to determine whether under-the-radar performers have fantasy merit. To do this, we use our applaud or a fraud determination. This week, we break it out to analyze a few late roster moves of players who changed teams.
RB Derrick Ward, Texans – Ward was a fantasy football bust as a free agent in Tampa Bay last year (despite the touchdown in the picture), but he’s just two seasons removed from a 1,000-yard season with the Giants. When he hit the market, the Texans decided to add him to run behind Arian Foster. It’s a move worth noting for fantasy football owners, because the Texans so often switch from back to back. We still believe Foster is a legitimate fantasy starter and a top-20 running back, but Ward’s signing reminds us that Houston wants a bigger back to pair with Foster. Ward basically takes the spot that rookie Ben Tate would have had before his season-ending injury, and while Ward doesn’t have the upside that Tate would have, he’s still worth owning in a league of 12 teams or more until you see how the RB corps in Houston shakes out. For that reason, we give a soft hand-clap. Verdict: Applaud
WR Mark Clayton, Rams – Clayton never lived up to his potential as a first-round pick in Baltimore, but he proved to be a decent receiver who piled up at least 34 catches in each of his NFL seasons. That wasn’t good enough for a role on a contender like Baltimore, but it makes him the most proven guy by a mile now that he’s in St. Louis. Clayton should be Sam Bradford’s possession receiver with the Rams, a role that should be worth 50-60 catches. Clayton doesn’t have the upside of Laurent Robinson or Danny Amendola in St. Louis, but he does have fantasy value in larger leagues as a bye-week or injury fill-in. But for now, fantasy owners should leave Clayton on the waiver wire. Verdict: A fraud
WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Ravens – The reason Clayton fell out of favor in Baltimore is that the Ravens were able to add Houshmandzadeh. He joins a veteran receiving corps that also features Anquan Boldin and Derrick Mason. Houshmadzadeh had 79 catches last year, but he showed very little explosiveness, which makes us wonder if his career is now on the downside. For that reason, we don’t expect him to start over Boldin or Mason. But if Boldin struggles with injury, as he often has in his career, Houshmandzadeh could slide in as a starter. We can see why the Ravens would bring in Houshmandzadeh as an insurance policy on a veteran minimum salary, but fantasy owners shouldn’t expect big production from him. Houshmandzadeh is only worth adding in larger fantasy leagues. Other leagues should stay away. Verdict: A fraud