Monthly Archives: April 2010

FR: April cuts

This post compares NFL cuts made in April. For previous cuts, go to the March cuts post and work your way back from there. We compare these releases using our Football Relativity comparison, with 10 marking the team that lost the most and 1 marking the team that barely nicked its roster.

10 – Cowboys (cut OT Flozell Adams and S Ken Hamlin) – Adams has started for the Cowboys at left tackle and has basically been a full-time starter since 1998, but he has lost range and effectiveness in recent years. Adams (known as Flozell the Hotel) is huge, but he was never nimble even before getting old, and so it made no sense for the Cowboys to pay $7.5 million in bonuses and salary to him in 2010. The Cowboys believe Doug Free is a left tackle prospect, but it wouldn’t be a shock to see them take a shot at a gifted but inconsistent tackle like Anthony Davis or Bruce Campbell late in the first round of the draft. Hamlin had a terrific season for the Cowboys in his first campaign in Dallas in 2007, and he turned a one-year deal into a six-year, $39 million contract, but since then Hamlin has been very average. He no longer has the range to be a top-level free safety, and that makes his release quite reasonable. 

10 (con’t) – Jets (cut OG Alan Faneca) – Faneca was the Jets’ prize free agent acquisition two offseasons ago, and he rewarded Gang Green with two Pro Bowl appearances in his two Jets seasons. But the team drafted Vladimir Ducasse to replace Faneca at left guard, and they decided to eat $5 million in guaranteed money to save $2 million in salary and move on. Faneca has started to slow a little bit, and so he’s not the drive-blocking force he was during his best days in Pittsburgh, but with nine Pro Bowls in his 12 seasons he knows what he’s doing. He’s a good leader too, and that makes him a great starter for a team with an otherwise so-so offensive line in his new Arizona home. He can’t be the most athletic or most physical guy on a line anymore, but he can be part of a good unit. The Jets, meanwhile, will depend on Nick Mangold and D’Brickashaw Ferguson to step forward as the leaders of their line and as Ducasse’s mentors.

9 – Jaguars (cut DTs John Henderson and Montavious Stanley; took RFA tender off LB Clint Ingram) – Henderson and Stanley became replaceable when the Jaguars drafted Tyson Alualu and D’Anthony Smith in the draft. Henderson is a huge defensive tackle who’s not the immovable force he once was, but he’s good enough to start for some team in the league at a reasonable price. Ingram became expendable when the Jaguars traded for Kirk Morrison during the draft. Ingram started for Jacksonville, but he’s probably going to have to settle for a backup role as he finds another team.

8 – Rams (cut QB Marc Bulger) – It was pretty obvious that the Bugler era in St. Louis was over, given Bulger’s repeated injury problems and the Rams’ growing infatuation with Sam Bradford. Bulger has been the Rams’ de facto starter since taking over for Kurt Warner back in 2002, but he’s taken a beating behind a terrible offensive line in recent years, and after posting passer ratings in or above 92 in four of five seasons from 2002-06, Bulger has been below 72 the past three years. Still, St. Louis got lucky with this former sixth-round pick that it picked up off waivers back in 2001. At this point, Bulger is probably going to end up as a veteran somewhere instead of a starter, and he’s probably good enough to serve in that role. But it’s a shame that poor protection prematurely stymied Bulger’s career.

7 – Bears (cut DE Alex Brown) – Brown was a good soldier for eight years in Chicago, including six years as a starter, but while he has had at least 4.5 sacks in every year since his second season, he’s never had more than seven. That made him expendable, especially given his $5 million 2010 price tag and Julius Peppers’ arrival. Brown is good enough to be an acceptable starting defensive end for a 4-3 team, but he needs to play opposite a big-time pass rusher to be most useful. Wherever he lands, it would be a shock if Brown doesn’t get closer to the veteran minimum salary for 2010 than the $5 million he was due in Chicago.

6 – Patriots (cut LB Adalius Thomas) – Thomas was a high-dollar, high-profile free agent signee by the Patriots, but for some reason he never fit into Bill Belichick’s system. Thomas was a healthy scratch in two games this past year, and he made no secret of his desire to get out of New England. At his best, Thomas was a do-everything linebacker who could cover just about anyone, blitz, and play the run, but he hasn’t shown that form in two years now and is no guarantee to recover it now that he’ll enter the 2010 season at age 33.

5 – Buccaneers (cut DT Chris Hovan and G Arron Sears) – Hovan, a former first-rounder in Minnesota who tried to revitalize a flagging career in Tampa Bay, started all but one game in five years in Tampa but wasn’t a dynamic force. After the Bucs drafted DTs Gerald McCoy and Bryan Price, Hovan had been replaced. Sears started all but one game in his first two years as a Buc, but a concussion sidelined him last year and could end up being career-ending.

4- Ravens (cut CB Samari Rolle) – Rolle’s release was more of a bookkeeping matter than an on-field issue for Baltimore. Rolle had a fine career in Baltimore and Tennessee, but he missed the entire 2009 season due to injury and appears to be nearing retirement.

3 – Giants (took tender off RFA S C.C. Brown) – Brown started seven games for the Giants last season as New York tried in vain to replace Kenny Phillips, but Brown’s struggles led some to speculate that his initials stood for  “Can’t Cover.” After adding Antrel Rolle and Deon Grant, with Phillips’ return pending, Brown became extraneous, and the Giants took away their tender offer and made Brown an unrestricted free agent.

2 – Seahawks (cut TE John Owens and RB Xavier Omon) – Owens got a little more than the minimum to move to Seattle as a free agent last year, but he lost his gig when the Seahawks added Chris Baker this offseason.

1 – Packers (cut LB Jeremy Thompson) – Green Bay cut Thompson, a two-year veteran, to faciliate his retirement caused by a neck injury he suffered in a December practice.

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FR: 2010 NFL Draft Review

After putting out first-round thoughts on the draft and comparing the veteran players traded during the festivities, we now want to take time to compare each team’s draft class to each other. Because draft grades are just as useless as power rankings, we’re going to do this the Football Relativity way. We’ll compare each team’s haul to the others, with the best hauls at 10 on the scale and the worst haul at 1.

Note: This year’s draft classes are more bunched than usual, because there weren’t many teams that drafted exceptionally poorly this year.

10 – Rams – St. Louis had no choice but to draft a quarterback first overall, and Sam Bradford was a great one to take. It’s still a risky proposition, especially given the Rams’ lack of offensive line and receiver experience, but Bradford is the kind of guy who should succeed. Adding OT Roger Saffold in the second round will help Bradford. Saffold, Jason Smith, and Jason Brown are a good start on the core of a line that succeeds. Fourth-round WR Mardy Gilyard and TEs Michael Hoomanawanui and Fendi Onubun add to the depth of targets for Bradford as well. Third-round CB Jerome Murphy is the only real defensive help the Rams added, although seventh-round George Selvie could emerge as a situational pass rusher. But the Rams had to draft Bradford and get him some help, and they did a good job of executing that plan.

10 (con’t) – Bengals – Cincinnati loves pure talent, and they have built a reputation on picking the most talented guys despite any outside concerns. So first-round TE Jermaine Gresham’s 2009 injury or second-round DE Carlos Dunlap’s legal issues weren’t enough to dissaude Cincinnati. If those picks work, both guys have the talent to become premium players at their positions. Third-round CB Brandon Ghee (of Wake Forest) is a super-talented guy as well who didn’t always play up to that level, but he could become a top nickel back. Jordan Shipley could fit perfectly as a slot receiver, and he and Gresham have the potential to inject quite a bit of pizzazz into a passing game that sputtered down the stretch last year. Even sixth-rounder Dezmon Briscoe has top talent at wideout. There’s a lot to like in this class, even though the Bengals’ mindset comes with more risk than most teams prefer.

10 (con’t) – Ravens – Baltimore traded out of round one, but it still got a premium player in LB Sergio Kindle, the kind of versatile player the Ravens know how to feature. Baltimore also got two defensive tackles in Terrence Cody and Arthur Jones who have worlds of talent. Both come with some risk, but if one of the two turns into a stud, it’s worth the second- and fifth-rounders Baltimore spent at the position. If both shine, this draft becomes stellar. TEs Ed Dickson and Dennis Pitta could be a pass-catching duo for years as well. This is a very good draft in terms of value that has big-time upside at the nose tackle spot. That’s not a bad result after trading out of the first round.

9 – Eagles – Philly had a ton of picks, and they used some of them to trade up to No. 13 to take DE Brandon Graham. The Eagles have had a lot of success with an undersized pass rusher in Trent Cole, but they’ve been missing a running mate for Cole for a while. Third-round DE Daniel Te’o-Nesheim and fifth-round DE Ricky Sapp, another undersized guy, should help at the position as well. Second-round S Nate Allen has athleticism and could eventually fill the role vacated last year by Brian Dawkins. Fifth-round WR Riley Cooper could fit as a dependable fourth wideout, and seventh-round DT Jeff Owens has a lot of talent if not performance. And fourth-round QB Mike Kafka will have a chance to develop into Kevin Kolb’s backup. Philly had a lot of picks, and as usual they made the most of them. Graham’s probably the only guy with the ability to become a superstar, but the Eagles definitely found plenty of reinforcements.

9 (con’t) – Seahawks – The draft fell Seattle’s way, and Pete Carroll’s new regime took advantage by taking OT Russell Okung and S Earl Thomas in the first round. Both are premium players who significantly upgrade problem areas. Second-round WR Golden Tate also addresses a problem area, but he’s more of a No. 2 option on a good NFL team than a 1. Still, he’ll contribute. DE E.J. Wilson (fourth round) and SS Kam Chancellor (fifth round) will have opportunities to start if they outperform their draft position, and sixth-rounder TE Anthony McCoy is a talent who Carroll knows from USC and trusts despite off-field issues. Seattle did the right thing in the first round, and that talent infusion is just what a roster that got old quick needed.

8 – Buccaneers – Tampa entered the draft with a bunch of problem areas, but they leave with two fewer. At defensive tackle, first-rounder Gerald McCoy and second-rounder Bryan Price should become a talented tandem that anchors the defense for the next 5-8 years. And at receiver, the Bucs added premium talents in second-rounder Arrelious Benn and fourth-rounder Mike Williams. If those four players pan out, the draft was a success for the Bucs. Throw in third-round CB Myron Lewis, who could eventually replace Ronde Barber, and sixth-round OLB Dekoda Watson, and Tampa looks to have gotten a bunch of help with its selections.

8 (con’t) – Cardinals – Arizona entered the draft needing to add some young talent to its 3-4 front seven, and they did just that. NT Dan Williams was a boon at pick 26 in the first round, and OLB Daryl Washington will bring some pass-rush potential in the second round. OLB O’Brien Schofield, a first-round talent who suffered an injury in the Senior Bowl, could prove to be worth the wait as a fourth-rounder. Third-round WR Andre Roberts won’t have much pressure on him immediately, but he could develop much as Steve Breaston and Early Doucet have the last couple of years in Arizona. All in all, it was a solid job for Arizona.

8 (con’t) – Patriots – New England entered with a ton of picks (as usual), and they used them to pick up an extra second-rounder for next year (as usual). But they also drafted a bunch of reinforcements for a team that needs young playmakers. We’re all about second-round TE Rob Gronkowski, who can be a game-changer if he keeps his back healthy, and fourth-round TE Aaron Hernandez adds even more talent to a position that was depleted of talent by free agency. Florida LBs Jermaine Cunningham and Brandon Spikes also add depth to a position that had gotten old and then gotten worse in recent years. They’re not the new Bruschi and Vrabel, but they’ll help. First-round CB Devin McCourty addresses a need area as well, and WR Taylor Price adds youth to a unit that is painfully thin behind Randy Moss and Wes Welker. We’ll see if any of the late-round guys are able to force their way onto the roster, but simply based on the first four rounds the Patriots did a good job.

7 – Saints – New Orleans drafted at the end of each round, but they did a good job of extracting value out of their draft spots. In the first round, CB Patrick Robinson was the last of the top tier of corners, and he comes to an area that was average but not much better last year. Adding Robinson also gives the Saints the ability to move ’09 first-rounder Malcolm Jenkins over to safety, which adds depth there as well. Second-round OT Charles Brown was too much of a value to pass up, and third-round TE Jimmy Graham is a developmental prospect who some scouts believe could emerge into the best tight end of this class. Fourth-round DT Al Woods also contributes to a need area. Aside from Graham, there’s not massive upside in this group, but there’s a lot of talent in key places, and that’s more than a Super Bowl champ usually gets from spot 32 in each round.

7 (con’t) – Chiefs – We’re not quite as ga-ga over the Chiefs’ class as some are, but there’s no doubt that a lot of help is on the way to K.C. First-round S Eric Berry is a true impact player, and he’ll start from day one. Second-round CB Javier Arenas is probably a No. 2 corner because he doesn’t have outstanding size, but he’s a starter. Dexter McCluster, drafted as a slot receiver at the top of the second round, needs to prove he’s as dependable as Wes Welker, but he does have the ability to break big plays. McCluster’s size, though, makes us worry about his ability to absorb the massive hits over the middle. OG Jon Asamoah and TE Tony Moeaki, both third-rounders, could step into the lineup as well. K.C. killed the first three rounds, but the thing that will determine if this draft is good or great is McCluster’s contribution. If he’s a role player, K.C. did well; if McCluster becomes a star, this class becomes epic.

6 – Texans – Some have doubted Houston’s decision to pick CB Kareem Jackson over Kyle Wilson in the first round, but Jackson fits the Texans’ scheme perfectly because it’s so much like Alabama’s. So he fills a major need, as does banger RB Ben Tate in the second round. TEs Garrett Graham in the fourth round and Dorin Dickerson in the seventh provide insurance in case Owen Daniels struggles to return from his knee injury, and LB Darryl Sharpton is small but still a tackling machine. Plus, Trindon Holliday provides value as a returner in the sixth round. This isn’t the sexiest draft class, but it seems positioned to help a team on the cusp finally break into the playoffs.

6 (con’t) – Giants – Big Blue took a big swing in the first round with DE Jason Pierre-Paul, who has more talent than any end in the draft but very little experience. That leads to questions, but the upside looks really good for New York. Adding Pierre-Paul and second-round DT Linval Joseph may seem repetitive given the Giants’ roster of D-linemen, but the defense struggled last year, and so the status quo wasn’t acceptable. Third-round S Chad Jones was productive and could develop further, and fourth-round MLB Phillip Dillard could step in for Antonio Pierce at least on first and second downs. Seventh-round punter Matt Dodge will compete to replace the retiring Jeff Feagles as well. The Giants got help in this draft and admitted that the defense which was once a strength really needed to be addressed.

6 (con’t) – Panthers – Regardless of what their plan was, the Panthers couldn’t resist pulling the trigger on QB Jimmy Clausen with their first pick at 48th overall. Clausen, who became the quarterback taken earlier by Carolina than anyone since Kerry Collins was the franchise’s first-ever draft pick, has the chance to be a long-term solution at a position where the Panthers have never had a premium player. If that happens, this draft was a huge success. Carolina addressed needs with third-round WR Brandon LaFell and sixth-round DE Greg Hardy, and both guys could find significant roles as rookies. Fourth-round OLB Eric Norwood is one of our favorites, and although he doesn’t really look the part he makes a ton of plays. The big question mark in this class is Armanti Edwards, who will go from being a small-school quarterback to an NFL wildcatter/slot receiver/punt returner. Maybe he can fill that role, but they price Carolina paid – next year’s second-rounder – to take Edwards at the end of the third round was simply too much for a specialty-type of player.

6 (con’t) – Jets – As usual, the Jets didn’t have quantity picks, but given the offseason additions they made via trade and free agency, a bunch of sixth- and seventh-rounders wouldn’t have made the team anyway. But the guys the Jets got are key. First-round CB Kyle Wilson becomes a nickel back immediately, and if he plays well the Jets may let Antonio Cromartie leave via free agency after the season. Wilson also provides insurance against the Big Apple eating Cromartie up and spitting him out. Second-round OG Vladimir Ducasse will get the chance to replace the released Alan Faneca at left guard immediately. Ducasse has all the physical tools, but he’s taking a big leap up in competition from UMass. The Jets dealt most of their remaining picks to pick RB Joe McKnight in the fourth round as the slash-and-dash complement to Shonn Greene. Maybe McKnight can fill Leon Washington’s shoes, but McKnight wasn’t a consistent force at USC. Fifth-round FB John Conner will probably spend 2010 learning from Tony Richardson before replacing the long-time fullback soon after. McKnight and Ducasse are risks, but if they pan out the Jets will be thrilled with this four-person draft class.

6 (con’t) – Broncos – Denver’s draft is a story of a bad strategy executed well. Trading back into the first round for a quarterback is the strategy that fails, and we have major reservations about Tim Tebow’s throwing motion. That’s a double whammy. But the trading Denver did turned a second-round pick into the first they used on Tebow and turned a fourth-rounder into a third. So while we can’t support Josh McDaniels’ infatuation with Tebow, the rest of the draft went well. WR Demaryius Thomas fits what Denver needs, and he and third-rounder Eric Decker could become the outside receiving combo to spur McDaniels’ offense. OG Zane Beadles and  C J.D. Walton will continue Denver’s transformation to a more physical offensive line than the nimble zone-blocking scheme Mike Shanahan used there. Fifth-round CB Perrish Cox is a terrific talent with off-the-field question marks, but at that spot he’s a risk worth taking. So while we will continue to beat the drum against the Tebow pick, on the whole we respect what McDaniels and his crew did with this draft class.

6 (con’t) – Lions – Detroit didn’t have a ton of picks because they traded lots of lower-rounders for veterans who can help now, and we approve of that strategy. We’re also all for Detroit’s no-brainer decision to take DT Ndamukong Suh second overall. But the more we think about Jahvid Best, the more we think he was a little bit too much of a luxury for a team that’s still in the rebuilding process. That pick may have come a year too early, and Best’s durability questions may mean he’s not around when the Lions actually get good. Fourth-round OT Jason Fox and seventh-round DE Willie Young are good developmental prospects, and third-round CB Amari Spievey addresses a need area. The Lions are moving the right direction, but our questions about Best keep us from really raving about this draft class.

6 (con’t) – Browns – Cleveland needed a major talent infusion in this draft, but they didn’t get all that they needed. CB Joe Haden in the first round was probably as good as Cleveland could get at No. 7, and he’ll help. Second-round Montario Hardesty was a helpful pick in the second round, and Mike Holmgren has a way of turning mid-round QBs like Colt McCoy into starters or future draft equity. G Shawn Lauvao could emerge as a starter out of the third round, and sixth-round DE Clifton Geathers has the size to become a factor in a 3-4. But ultimately, Cleveland will need second-round S T.J. Ward to outperform his pre-draft rankings for this draft class to truly make the kind of impact the franchise needed.

5 – 49ers – The 49ers played the personality game in the draft by using two first-round picks to cement their offensive identity as a tough run-first team. OT Anthony Davis is gifted but not always dedicated, but Mike Singletary has broken through such veneers before. OG Mike Iupati is more likely to help right away as a mauler, especially in the run game. The Niners then took SS Taylor Mays in the second round and ILB Navarro Bowman in the third, both of whom should help to reinforce a defense that’s on the rise. There’s not eye-popping performance in this draft, but the Niners did fine as they continue to become the kind of team they want to be.

5 (con’t) – Packers – Green Bay gumped into OT Bryan Bulaga with the 23rd overall pick, and so they got a good player at a position of real need. We still see Bulaga as a better right tackle than left tackle, but since the Packers have needs at both spots Bulaga makes a ton of sense. S Morgan Burnett in the third round is a fine player who will fit the defense well. We’re not as confident about second-round DE Mike Neal, but if he can serve as a reserve he’ll help. The Packers didn’t have many gaping holes, and so if Bulaga and Burnett end up as starters this draft will end up being more positive than negative.

5 (con’t) – Dolphins – Miami’s draft, which focused on defense except for one pick, wasn’t high-profile, but  first-round DE Jared Odrick and second-round OLB Koa Misi should add depth to the front seven immediately. They fit what Miami’s trying to do on defense. Third-round OG John Jerry is a physical blocker who’ll fit Miami’s personality as well. Miami was on its own agenda in this draft, but the Dolphins know what they want, and that usually leads to drafts yielding players.

4 – Colts – Indy’s drafters know exactly what kind of players they want, and first-round DE Jerry Hughes fits the Dwight Freeney/Robert Mathis mold. But second-round MLB Pat Angerer seems stuck behind Gary Brackett, who just got a new contract, and the Colts didn’t get any offensive line help besides fourth-round OG Jacques McClendon. Third-round CB Kevin Thomas should break into the rotation, and the Colts do better than any other team in the undrafted rookie market. So this rookie class could end up looking better than the draft list does at first glance.

4 (con’t) – Steelers – Many observers were hoping for an eye-popping draft from the Steelers in light of the Santonio Holmes and Ben Roethlisberger issues. But Pittsburgh instead focused on its normal solid, long-range planning. First-rounder Maurkice Pouncey will be a long-term starter at center or guard, and third-round WR Emmanuel Sanders will have a chance to step in as a third receiver now and emerge as a starter once Hines Ward is gone. Pittsburgh added three outside linebackers for its 3-4 zone blitz in Jason Worilds, Thaddeus Gibson, and Steven Sylvester, even though it has two established starters at those positions. Fifth-round CB Crezdon Butler addresses more of a need area. In four years, we’ll look back at this draft as helpful, but in 2010 there’s not an impact.

4 (con’t) – Raiders – Oakland didn’t bomb this draft as it has in past years, but the question is whether the Raiders got the massive amount of help that they need. LB Rolando McClain in the first round is a good leader, but he’s probably more of a two-down player than an every-down contributor. He’ll help, but he’s not a top 10 talent. Second-round DT Lamarr Houston was a terrific value pick who will help, and promising OTs Jared Veldheer and Bruce Campbell in the third and fourth rounds each has potential to emerge as a top-level left tackle. If one of those guys lives up to his potential, this draft class will look a lot better, but can you trust the Raiders to develop talent that this far away from contribution? Fourth-round WR Jacoby Ford and fifth-round CB Walter McFadden should help in limited roles. Oakland did OK, but this draft isn’t the kind that will put them over the top.

4 (con’t) – Titans – In the first round, Tennessee took DE Derrick Morgan, a solid player at a big-time need position. He’ll probably have a career closer to Kyle Vanden Bosch than Jevon Kearse, but that’s still a big plus. Second-round WR Damian Williams could eventually pair with Kenny Britt to give Tennessee a solid receiver duo, but Williams is unlikely to help a ton this year. Third-round LB Rennie Curran is productive but undersized, and the Titans need more CB help than fourth-rounder Alterraun Verner can provide. This is a solid class, but we don’t sense a ton of upside with the group.

3 – Cowboys – Jerry Jones fell in love with Dez Bryant, and when Bryant started falling down the board, Jones jumped up to grab him. If Bryant can develop into an elite receiver, this will be a memorable move, but it does come with some risk. The fact that Miles Austin developed into an elite receiver last year makes the move curious as well. Fourth-round safety Akwasi Owusu-Ansah is another risk because he comes from a small school, but he has all the physical tools and mental toughness he needs. Second-round ILB Sean Lee should become Keith Brooking’s replacement before long. This class is long on superstar potential but short on sure things.

3 (con’t) – Bears – Chicago came into this draft short-handed after the trades for Jay Cutler and the late Gaines Adams, but the Bears made the most of the picks they have. Safety was a crying need, and so getting Major Wright in the third round was a huge win. Fourth-rounder Corey Wootton has a ton of talent if he can fully recover from a 2008 ACL injury, and QB Dan LeFevour was the kind of developmental prospect who’s worth a sixth-round shot. Chicago did little to address its offensive line problems, but that’s the price you pay for trading draft picks for vets.

3 (con’t) – Redskins – Washington didn’t have second- or third-round picks, so the franchise didn’t get the quantity of help it needed. But it got high-quality help in first-round OT Trent Williams, who Mike Shanahan believes can become his new Ryan Clady. Fourth-round ILB Perry Riley could step into Washington’s new 3-4 defense, and seventh-round offensive linemen Erik Cook and Selvish Capers have a chance to make it at a major problem area.

2 – Bills – The Bills looked for thrills by taking C.J. Spiller at nine, and although he didn’t fit a specific need, he was probably the best player available. For a team bereft of talent, that’s important. Buffalo then focused on filling its new 3-4 defense with NT Torell Troup and DE Alex Carrington. If those two guys become starters, this draft will look good for the Bills, but neither was the best prospect on the board when he was picked. Maybe the Bills found a diamond in the rough in sixth-round OLB Arthur Moats or Danny Batten, and that would help the front seven as well. This draft ended up being pretty risky for Buffalo, and when the top player wasn’t at a need position, that’s a scary proposition.

2 (con’t) – Chargers – San Diego gave up its second round pick to shoot up the first round draft order and take RB Ryan Mathews at 12. Mathews is a good player at a need area, and San Diego often moves way up to get guys they want, but that strategy hasn’t always worked well before. So the Chargers need Mathews to deliver, and they need to find plenty of help from later-round picks. Third-round ILB Darrell Butler could emerge as a starter, but the key guy might be fifth-round NT Cam Thomas, who has the talent to step into Jamal Williams’ old spot if he can stay motivated. Jonathan Crompton, a sixth-rounder, replaces Charlie Whitehurst as the Chargers’ developmental quarterback. We don’t love the top of this draft, but we get the feeling the later rounds will pay off for the Bolts.

2 (con’t) – Falcons – Without a second-round pick, Atlanta’s draft class looks a little thin, but first-round LB Sean Witherspoon and third-round DT Corey Peters are big helps to a defense that needed reinforcements. Atlanta tried to play the value game with interior offensive linemen Mike Johnson and Joe Hawley in the middle rounds, and if both emerge as starters in the next two years, this draft will end up being a win. For now, though, we’re uncertain.

1 – Vikings – Minnesota traded out of the first round, and at No. 34 they took 6-foot-2 cornerback Chris Cook. Back when I covered the Panthers, CB Eric Davis once said, “Do you know what you call a 6-2 corner? A safety.” And for the most part, ED’s wisdom has borne out. That makes me skeptical of Cook and his prospects for truly becoming an elite corner. Trading up for RB Toby Gerhart at the end of the second round was strange too, because he’s not different enough style-wise from Adrian Peterson to complement the standout back. Those were Minnesota’s only two picks in the first two rounds, which limits the impact of this class. Fourth-round DE Everson Griffen is a talent who had off-field questions but was worth a shot where the Vikes got him, and fifth-rounder Chris DeGeare was a college tackle at Wake Forest who has a shot to make it as a guard. But on the whole, this class leaves us with many more questions than answers.

1 (con’t) – Jaguars – People have pounded on Jacksonville for taking DT Tyson Alualu at 10, and they didn’t maximize the value of that pick. But our sense is that Alualu will be a good player. The problem is that, at 10, Jacksonville needed a great player. Third-round DT D’Anthony Smith seems to be the brawn to contrast Alualu’s inside quickness, but some have pointed to Smith as a reach. Since those were Jacksonville’s only two picks in the first four rounds, it doesn’t look as though Jacksonville reaped a ton of immediate help from the draft.

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Faneca’s new fans

We’re still working on our draft recap (a Monday work obligation slowed me down), but while you wait here are some thoughts on Alan Faneca’s release by the Jets and subsequent signing by his new fans in Arizona. We’ll compare Faneca to other cuts teams made in April at the end of the week.

Faneca was the Jets’ prize free agent acquisition two offseasons ago, and he rewarded Gang Green with two Pro Bowl appearances in his two Jets seasons. But the team drafted Vladimir Ducasse to replace Faneca at left guard, and they decided to eat $5 million in guaranteed money to save $2 million in salary and move on. Faneca has started to slow a little bit, and so he’s not the drive-blocking force he was during his best days in Pittsburgh, but with nine Pro Bowls in his 12 seasons he knows what he’s doing. He’s a good leader too, and that makes him a great starter for a team with an otherwise so-so offensive line in his new Arizona home. He can’t be the most athletic or most physical guy on a line anymore, but he can be part of a good unit. The Jets will depend on Nick Mangold and D’Brickashaw Ferguson to step forward as the leaders of their line and as Ducasse’s mentors.

In Arizona, Faneca plugs into a system he’s familiar with through head coach Ken Whisenhunt and line coach Russ Grimm, both of whom coached Faneca in Pittsburgh. Faneca, who got a one-year, $2.5 million deal, will actually bring home more cash this year than he would had the Jets held onto him, will be a great leader for the Cards’ line, which has been one of the team’s weaker units in recent years. He’ll give Herman Johnson help developing and will stabilize the interior of the line, and Faneca’s style also fits the run-first persona Whisenhunt is trying to implement in the desert. Beanie Wells and Tim Hightower should high-five team execs for bringing Faneca on board.

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FR: Draft veteran trades

As part of our draft review, we want to compare the significance of the veteran players who were traded during the three-day draft. We’ll compare these veterans on the move using relativity, with 10 denoting the most significant mover and 1 denoting the most minor move.

For a comparison of the players traded between the end of the season and the draft, check out this post. And watch this week for a full comparison of each team’s draft classes.

10 – QB Jason Campbell from Redskins to Raiders – Campbell’s days were numbered as soon as the Redskins acquired Donovan McNabb. Now he moves to Oakland, where he could shove former first overall pick JaMarcus Russell out of town. Campbell isn’t a terrific quarterback, but he’s at least an average starter in the NFL, and if he ever gets to learn a single offense, he could still develop. Those hopes of stability are more like pipe dreams for Campbell in Oakland, but the fresh start should help. It’s certainly worth a 2012 fourth-rounder for the Raiders to see if Campbell can develop.

9 – none

8 – none

7 – LB Kirk Morrison from Raiders to Jaguars – After drafting Rolando McClain in the first round, the Raiders had no need for Morrison, who had done a good job as their starting middle linebacker the past few years. The fact that the Raiders appear to be transitioning toward a 3-4 defense also made Morrison’s role obsolete in Oakland. But he’ll be an asset well worth a fifth-round pick for the Jaguars, who had the most pedestrian of linebacking corps. Morrison will help Jax immediately.

7 (con’t) – RB Leon Washington from Jets to Seahawks – Washington missed most of the 2009 season with a major knee injury, and so the explosiveness he displayed early in his career is now a question. But if Washington gets healthy, he’ll be a huge asset to the Seahawks and bring an explosiveness that simply wasn’t there last year. Washington can break the big play as a runner or receiver, and if Seattle wants him to have a role on special teams he can help there too. The Jets decided that draftee Joe McKnight was a healthier and cheaper alternative to Washington, and so they dealt Washington for a fifth-rounder, but only time will tell whether that move to youth was the wise course for them.

6 – none

5 – CB Bryant McFadden from Cardinals to Steelers – McFadden moved from Pittsburgh to Arizona last offseason after the two teams met in the Super Bowl, but McFadden’s physical, zone-friendly style didn’t really fit the attacking defense the Cards favor. So Arizona dealt him back to Pittsburgh for a fifth-round pick.  McFadden isn’t great, but he’s an acceptable No. 2 corner, and so he’ll be at least a stopgap at a huge need position for the Steelers. Arizona, meanwhile, turns a low-dollar free-agent signing into one year of a starter and a fifth-round pick, which isn’t a bad return on investment.

4 – RB LenDale White and DT Kevin Vickerson from Titans to Seahawks – In a trade that basically amounted to a giveaway, the Titans sent White and Vickerson to Seattle to move up just seven spots in the fourth round and just nine spots in the sixth. White is a burly back, but even though he got in better shape in ’09 than ’08, he didn’t produce. That decline, plus the emergence of Chris Johnson, made the sometimes unhappy White expendable for Tennessee. In Seattle, White will once again play for Pete Carroll, his college coach at USC. Carroll knows how White can be an asset, but Seattle fans must hope he doesn’t get too attached to White and overlook his limitations. Still, White and Leon Washington, plus holdover Justin Forsett, should constitute an improved RB situation for Seattle. Vickerson, meanwhile, is a defensive tackle who moved into Tennessee’s rotation but didn’t distinguish himself. It appears the Titans were looking to replace Vickerson, so getting a little draft equity out of a player who would have been cut makes sense. The fact that Seattle wanted Vickerson shows how little DL depth the Hawks have.

3 – none

2 – none

1 – LB Tim Dobbins from Chargers to Dolphins – In the deal that allowed the Chargers to trade up and draft RB Ryan Mathews in the first round, San Diego sent Dobbins to Miami.  The four-year veteran linebacker has just 10 career starts,  but he has at least 55 tackles in each of the past two years. He’ll fit into the inside linebacker mix for the Dolphins’ 3-4.

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Deja Vu – Evaluating the 2010 Football Relativity Mock Draft

Before we evaluate our a mock draft, a few notes:
*Check out the first-round draft thoughts for a division-by-division and team-by-team roundup of the first round, and the Football Relativity Twitter feed for initial thoughts on the weekend events. We’ll wrap everything draft-wise up next week.

Now that the preliminaries are out of the way, here are the first-round results, compared to what we predicted. As you can see, we only hit seven picks dead on, including the first six. That’s my best stretch to open a draft since 1998.

1. QB Sam Bradford, Rams– as predicted

2. DT Ndamukong Suh, Lions – as predicted

 

3. DT Gerald McCoy, Buccaneers – as predicted

4. OT Trent Williams, Redskins – as predicted

5. S Eric Berry, Chiefs – as predicted

6. OT Russell Okung, Seahawks – as predicted

7. CB Joe Haden, Browns – predicted 10th, off 3

8. LB Rolando McClain, Raiders – predicted 15th, off 7

9. RB C.J. Spiller, Bills – predicted 7th, off 2

10. DT Tyson Alualu, Jaguars – predicted 27th, off 17

11. OT Anthony Davis, 49ers – predicted 23rd, off 12

12. RB Ryan Mathews, Chargers – predicted 20th, off 8

13. DE Brandon Graham, Eagles – predicted 16th, off 3

14. S Earl Thomas, Seahawks – predicted 19th, off 5

15. DE Jason Pierre-Paul, Giants – predicted 13th, off 2

16. DE Derrick Morgan, Titans – predicted 8th, off 8

17. OG Mike Iupati, 49ers – predicted 18th, off 1

18. OG Maurkice Pouncey, Steelers – predicted 24th, off 6

19. OLB Sean Witherspoon, Falcons – predicted 29th, off 10

20. CB Kareem Jackson, Texans – predicted 30th, off 10

21. TE Jermaine Gresham, Bengals – as predicted

22. WR Demaryius Thomas, Broncos – predicted 11th, off 11; predicted to correct team

23. OT Bryan Bulaga, Packers – predicted 17th, off 6

24. WR Dez Bryant, Cowboys – predicted 14th, off 10

25. QB Tim Tebow, Broncos – not predicted in first round

26. DT Dan Williams, Cardinals – predicted 12th, off 14

27. CB Devin McCourty, Patriots – not predicted in first round

28. DE Jared Odrick, Dolphins – predicted 25th, off 3

29. CB Kyle Wilson, Jets – predicted 28th, off 1

30. RB Jahvid Best, Lions – not predicted in first round

31. DE Jerry Hughes, Colts – predicted 22nd, off 9

32. CB Patrick Robinson, Saints – not predicted in first round

So there you go. We had direct hits at 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 21, while missing two players by one spot and another two by two spots. We also correctly matched Demaryius Thomas with the Broncos. Overall, we hit 28 of 32 first-rounders, including the first 24.

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Draft: First-round thoughts

The first round of the 2010 NFL draft is in the books, and we have thoughts on what happened – and what should have. Some of these are the best of our draft-night tweets; others are thoughts on further reflection. We’ll go by division so you can easily compare teams against their biggest rivals. We’ll do a full draft recap next week after all seven rounds are complete; in the meantime we’ll tweet more thoughts throughout the weekend.

AFC East
At pick 9, Buffalo picked RB C.J. Spiller, which was a bit of a surprise. But Spiller was the most explosive offensive player available, and those picks between 7 and 10 didn’t really offer wonderful value. So we approve of the Bills taking the best available guy. We had Jimmy Clausen projected to go to Buffalo in our mock, and if the Bills like him they can still move up a few spots in the second round to get him. … The Dolphins started the night with the 12th pick, but they traded down to 28 and still got a solid 3-4 defensive end in Jared Odrick. Miami added the 40th overall pick in the deal (while giving up a sixth and moving back in the fourth), so they got great value for the move and got back a pick better than the one they traded for Brandon Marshall. The Fins could target a pass-rusher like Everson Griffen at 40 and end up really helping their front 7. … The Patriots started at 22, traded down twice and turned a fourth into a third, and still ended up with CB Devin McCourty, who they probably would have taken at 22. Give the Patrtiots credit for actually pulling the trigger and taking the guy they wanted instead of trying to extract value to the point that they didn’t get someone who could help now. … The Jets stayed put at 29 and got lucky that Kyle Wilson came to them. As Peter King said, Wilson teams with Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie to give the Jets a murderer’s row of corners that could help them leap over the Colts’ passing game in the AFC.

AFC North
The Browns got stuck at 7, which was the start of the second tier of prospects, as Pro Football Talk correctly diagnosed. In that situation, CB Joe Haden was a fine choice. Haden was the top corner in the draft, and he’ll help, and moving down wouldn’t have gained the Browns much. Now today, the Browns are in position to get Clausen or Colt McCoy, who seems to be more their style. … The Steelers took C Maurkice Pouncey at 18, which was a solid pick who really addressed a huge need. That’s not glamourous, but it will work. … The Bengals took TE Jermaine Gresham at 21 (as we projected in our mock), and that will really help their offense. This is an over-the-top move for the Bengals, but they have built their roster to the point that such a pick makes sense. … The Ravens traded out of the 25th pick, moving down to 43 with their first pick while adding third and fourth rounders. In a deep draft, that’s not a bad strategy. We’ll see if they can add some defensive end depth with their picks today.

AFC South
The Jaguars at 10 took the biggest reach in the first round in taking Tyson Alualu. But if the Jaguars believe Alualu was the best defensive tackle left, and if they couldn’t trade down, the pick is excusable. Maybe Jacksonville should have traded down, but maybe the value for such a move wasn’t there. Regardless, they had better hope Alualu pans out. … The Titans at 16 had to get a defensive end, and while they apparently coveted Jason Pierre-Paul, Derrick Morgan is a terrific consolation prize. Given the prowess of DL coach Jim Washburn, Morgan might be the luckiest guy in the draft. … The Texans at 20 didn’t get a shot at Ryan Mathews because of the Chargers’ big move, so picking a cornerback in Kareem Jackson made sense. Michael Smith did a great job explaining why Jackson, not Kyle Wilson, was the Texans’ choice. … Most people had the Colts at 31 looking at the offensive line, but DE Jerry Hughes is a Dwight Freeney/Robert Mathis type of small but speedy pass rusher. He’s a perfect fit for Indy’s system.

AFC West
The Chiefs made lots of noise about whether they would take S Eric Berry at 5, but he was the right guy. K.C. already has invested a first-rounder in LT Branden Albert, and Berry was the only option worth that pick. As we tweeted, he can be the Rodney Harrison in this Patriots-style defense. … At 8, the Raiders picked one of the most solid players in the draft in LB Rolando McClain. McClain might have been a tiny bit of a reach, but if he plays well for Oakland this will go down as a great pick and a great value for Oakland. We have nothing but props for Al Davis after this pick. … The Chargers gave up the 40th pick (the Charlie Whitehurst reward) to move up from 28 to 12 to take RB Ryan Mathews. He fits a need, and the Chargers have always been aggressive about getting the guy they want in the draft. Maybe they overpaid, but this contending team filled it’s biggest need, and that’s a good thing. … We had anticipated the Broncos taking WR Demaryius Thomas in the first round at no. 11, and so it made sense to us that Denver took him over Dez Bryant at 22. The Football Scientist K.C. Joyner liked the pick, and we do too, although the ESPN report that the Broncos said Thomas reminded them of Brandon Marshall made Josh McDaniels look petty. But that pick was far better than McDaniels’ decision to move back in the first round to take QB Tim Tebow. Tebow has great intangibles, but he’s such a project that he won’t help the Broncos now. McDaniels has the confidence he can develop Tebow; we don’t – as this sarcastic tweet proved. With all its wheeling and dealing, the Broncos turned their second-rounder into a first and their fourth-rounder into a third, so McDaniels did a good job there.

NFC East
The Redskins had no choice but to take an offensive tackle at No. 4, given their needs and lack of draft picks, and they took the right one in Trent Williams. Williams has all the athleticism and skills to be Mike Shanahan’s next Ryan Clady; now Williams must prove he has the desire to do so. … The Eagles leapt up from 24 to 13 to take Brandon Graham, and it makes a lot of sense. The Eagles know how to get the most out of speedy pass rushers from defensive end, and Graham was the best of that type of player available. Giving up two thirds to move up was a stout price, but for a contender such a move makes sense. … The Giants missed out on Rolando McClain, so they added a defensive end (as they usually do) by drafting Jason Pierre-Paul. JPP is a great physical specimen, and Mike Mayock praised his consistent effort. Tools plus effort should spell success for Pierre-Paul. Now the question is whether Pierre-Paul’s arrival on the clock means Osi Umenyiora is on the block. … The Cowboys also moved up, from 27 to 24, to ensure they got WR Dez Bryant once Bryant fell down the boards. Bryant is a physical freak, and Jerry Jones decided he wasn’t passing on a Randy Moss type of talent again. While receiver wasn’t the Cowboys’ great need, Bryant was a good value.

NFC North
The Lions got not just a great player but a great fit for the defense in DT Ndamukong Suh at No. 2. He got high praise from MovetheSticks.com. Then Detroit traded back into the first round to take RB Jahvid Best at 30. Best is a talented breakaway back, but the question is if he can stay healthy enough to be a true building block. Still, he’s worth a shot for the Lions. … The Packers stayed put at 23 and lucked into OT Bryan Bulaga (which made Aaron Rodgers happy). We’re not sold on Bulaga as a for-sure left tackle, but the Packers have needs at both tackles in the long term and at guard in the short term, and Bulaga can answer those needs. At 23, he was a no-brainer. … The Vikings, slated to pick 30, traded with the Lions to move down four slots. They have the second pick tonight, but trading down cost them a shot at Patrick Robinson, the last of the first-round corners. That might be a sore spot in the Vikes’ war room today. … The Bears gave up their first-rounder in the Jay Cutler trade, and they’re not on the clock until midway through the third round tonight.

NFC South
The Buccaneers got an ideal Warren Sapp/John Randle style of three-technique defensive tackle in their 4-3 defense by picking Gerald McCoy at No. 3. McCoy apparently has the personality to be a team leader, not just a dominator, which is a big plus as well. … Atlanta got left out of the defensive end run, so at 19 they took OLB Sean Witherspoon. Witherspoon should help bring more dynamic play to a linebacker corps that features a good young middle ‘backer in Curtis Lofton but no big-play makers. … New Orleans took CB Patrick Robinson at No. 32, which was good value. That could allow the Saints to move last year’s first-rounder Malcolm Jenkins to free safety to replace Darren Sharper. Regardless, Robinson adds depth to an area that was exposed even in the Super Bowl last year. … Carolina didn’t have a first-round pick, and now they must fight the temptation to trade next year’s first to move up in the second round to take Clausen or Colt McCoy. The first two hours of tonight’s festivities will tell us a lot about the Panthers’ willpower.

NFC West
The Rams did what they had to do in taking QB Sam Bradford. He’s a building block who has a full tool belt himself but not a lot of co-laborers. (Proof positive: This stat from Michael Smith.) St. Louis still has a long way to go talent-wise, but if they can keep Bradford together physically and mentally, he’ll be a part of the solution. … Seattle had two picks at 6 and 14, and in both spots good players slipped to them. The Seahawks should consider themselves lucky to land OT Russell Okung and S Earl Thomas. As we tweeted, it’s a much-needed talent upgrade for the Hawks. … San Francisco got tough with its two picks, trading up two spots to take OT Anthony Davis at 11 and then taking OG Mike Iupati at 17. Those guys should help a run game that sputtered last year and provide some punch to an offense for a team with a playoff-ready defense already. … The Cardinals stood pat at 26 and ended up getting NT Dan Williams, who’s a great find at that point in the draft. Williams may not be a game changer, but he can plug the nose of the defense well enough to set other playmakers like Darnell Dockett and Calais Campbell free. The Cards, like the Jets and Packers, had the first round break just right for them.

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Draft: First-round turning points

The NFL draft finally begins tonight. You can check out all our draft coverage this year in the category link, but as it begins we wanted to identify the key turning points in the first round tonight. These are the places where the draft can veer off in various directions. While we can’t list (or even anticipate) every twist and turn, these are a few of the places where we expect some craziness to happen.

By the way, for live thoughts on what’s happening tonight, follow Football Relativity on Twitter. We’ll wrap up the first round tomorrow and evaluate our first-round mock draft over the weekend.

Pick 4 (Redskins) – The Redskins face a choice between OTs Russell Okung and Trent Williams, and that choice will affect the Chiefs at 5 and the Seahawks at 6. But if the Redskins are able to trade down and gain a second-round pick, and someone like Eric Berry or Jimmy Clausen goes 4, things will get crazy quickly.

Pick 7 (Browns) – It seems like the first six players are set – Sam Bradford, Ndamukong Suh, Gerald McCoy, Okung, Berry, and Williams. If those players come off the board as expected, then the seventh pick is the first turning point. Do the Browns pull the trigger on Clausen? Do they take C.J. Spiller? Do they start a defensive end run with Derrick Morgan? Or do they trade out? The Browns could get stuck in this spot, and that could lead to a surprise.

Picks 10-11 (Jaguars and Broncos) – The draft buzz tells us that both Jacksonville and Denver are looking to trade out of their draft spots. The Eagles, among others, seem to be teams likely to jump up to take defensive studs like Morgan, Jason Pierre-Paul, or Earl Thomas. These two spots are the most likely to switch hands, at least in the first half of the first round.

Picks 13-14 (49ers and Seahawks) – Both the Niners and the Seahawks have two picks in the first round, and that makes it easier for them to take a risky pick with one of them. So this could be Clausen’s landing spot, or it could be where Dez Bryant finds a home. But expect a boom-or-bust scenario with at least one of these two picks as these teams look to add big-time talent.

Pick 20 (Texans) – Houston can either get a cornerback run moving by taking Kyle Wilson or Kareem Jackson, or they can hold it off by taking Ryan Mathews. It’ll be interesting to see which way the Texans go, but if they take one cornerback, teams will start moving around to make sure they don’t miss out on the top-level cover guys.

Pick 22 (Patriots) – If recent history is any indication, the Patriots will move back to try to pick up additional picks. So this pick could be a target for a team looking to employ the flawed draft strategy of trading back into the first round to take a quarterback like Tim Tebow or Colt McCoy. But since the Pats already have three second-rounders this year, and an extra first-rounder next year, they could actually move up instead of down to take a prospect they really like.

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