We piled up another win last week with the Bears over the lowly Browns. Let’s ride the train of picking against awful teams again with this week’s picks.
1. Atlanta over Washington – The Falcons have been great at home in the Georgia Dome, and the Redskins have been pretty bad most weeks. Even coming off a bye, we have to figure that the Falcons are good enough to get things done against the Skins. If the week had more good choices, we might wait to pick the Falcons until their home game against Tampa Bay in Week 12, but with the Browns, Raiders, and Rams on bye this week, there aren’t as many great suicide pool picks. So the right move is to cash in the Falcons now.
2. Seattle over Detroit – The Seahawks are beat up, but they’re still an OK home team, which should be enough to give them the W over the Lions. This is a riskier pick, but you won’t have a better chance all year to use the Seahawks and save other power teams.
3. Green Bay over Tampa Bay – If this were in Lambeau, it would be higher up the list, but this is the biggest mismatch of the week after Atlanta/Washington. The Bucs are simply awful, and the Pack is good enough to win the Battle of the Bays.
Trap to avoid: San Francisco over Tennessee – It would make sense to take the Niners at home against the Titans, but I want to see a little more about how the Titans play with Vince Young before we try to determine just how good the Titans are right at this moment. That makes this game one to stay away from.
Week 8: W Chicago (over Cleveland)
Week 7: W Indianapolis (over St. Louis)
Week 6: L Jets (vs. Buffalo)
Week 5: W Philadelphia (over Tampa Bay)
Week 4: W San Francisco (over St. Louis)
Week 3: L Houston (vs. Jacksonville)
Week 2: L Jacksonville (vs. Arizona)
Week 1: W New Orleans (over Detroit)