Applaud or a Fraud – Top 15 Quarterbacks

Over these midseason weeks, we have taken our preseason draft board and break down the top players at each position in an effort to determine which players are living up to their draft status, which are surpassing their draft status, and which are falling below their draft status. We’ll use our Applaud or a Fraud titles to compare these players vs. preseason expectations, but you’ll want to read each player’s report to see what the verdict means for him.

We’ve already done this with the top 35 running backs and emerging running backs; with the top 35 wide receivers and emerging wide receivers; and with the top 10 tight ends and emerging tight ends.  Now we turn to the top 15 quarterbacks from our preseason draft board.

As a companion to this piece, we’ll look at the top quarterbacks who weren’t in our top 15 before the season and try to determine whether we should applaud them or consider them frauds for the rest of the season. Watch for that post tomorrow.

1. Drew Brees, Saints – So far, too good. Brees has been ridiculous thus far this season with 14 passing TDs and two rushing TDs in six games, plus nearly 1,700 passing yards (283 per game). Those who made Brees the No. 1 fantasy QB haven’t been disappointed in the least. Verdict: Applaud

2. Tom Brady, Patriots – Tom Terrific had a bit of a slow start, but he has been gangbusters the last two weeks with 10 combined touchdowns. On the season, he has 15 passing touchdowns (2.5 per game) plus one via the ground. He is also passing for 290 yards per game, which is a great total. He’s back to being an elite fantasy quarterback. Verdict: Applaud

3. Peyton Manning, Colts – Before the season, we saw Manning slipping a notch below Brady and Brees. That hasn’t happened. Peyton has 15 passing touchdowns in the first six games of his season, and he’s averaging a whopping 313 passing yards per game. Once again, Peyton is the kind of quarterback who can carry a fantasy team. Verdict: Applaud

4. Kurt Warner, Cardinals – Warner’s total of nine touchdowns in six games is a little below the elite guys, but he’s throwing for 279 yards per game, which is more than fine. He’s not the fourth overall quarterback from a fantasy standpoint, but he’s an above-average starter, and that’s good enough for applause, even if it isn’t a rousing round. Verdict: Applaud

5. Philip Rivers, Chargers – Rivers was a revelation for fantasy owners last year, but so far this year he’s been a little more ordinary than extraordinary. The numbers are fine – 10 passing touchdowns and one rushing TD in six games, plus 298 passing yards per game, but that’s not enough to move him among the elite. Still, if you drafted Rivers to be an upper-to-mid level starting fantasy quarterback, you got what you wanted. Verdict: Applaud

6. Aaron Rodgers, Packers – Rodgers has gotten the crap beaten out of him behind a horrendous offensive line, but he’s still produced 11 passing touchdowns (plus a two-point conversion) and one rushing TD while averaging 283 passing yards per game. Those are numbers on par with Rivers and Warner, so you can’t really complain about what Rodgers has given you. He’s a young quarterback who continues to establish himself as a solid fantasy starter. The offensive line problems make you a little nervous going forward, but Rodgers has survived them so far. Verdict: Applaud

7. Tony Romo, Cowboys – Romo’s numbers aren’t as good as the other Rs (Rodgers, Rivers, and Roethlisberger), but he’s been OK with nine passing TDs, one rushing TD, and 275 passing yards per game. He’s more of a mid-pack fantasy starter than an upper-end guy, but that’s where we rated him. We won’t complain about his production. And now that Miles Austin is emerging, Romo might actually have an elite target again, which is a good sign going forward. Verdict: Applaud

8. Donovan McNabb, Eagles – McNabb’s injury history caused us to rate him a tier below the other elite producers, and that’s proven to be wise. He missed two full games, leaving fantasy owners in the lurch. When McNabb has played, he’s been fine – nine passing TDs, one rushing TD, and 192 passing yards pr game. But there are guys below him on this list – namely Ben Roethlisberger and Matt Schaub – who have been better options even when you leave out the games McNabb missed. That has pushed McNabb to the borderline of fantasy starters, and that’s the reason we’ll give him a slight thumbs down. We just don’t feel wholly comfortable throwing our lot in with McNabb as a starter going forward. Verdict: A fraud

9. Matt Schaub, Texans – Everybody knew that Schaub could put up numbers if he stays healthy, and thus far this season Schaub has done both of those things. The results have been stunning – in 7 games, Schaub has 16 passing touchdowns and is throwing for 296 yards per game. Those numbers actually are a little better than what even Drew Brees and Peyton Manning are producing. The injury risk is still there, but owners are getting so much upside for taking that risk right now that it’s more than worth it. Verdict: Applaud

10. Jay Cutler, Bears – Cutler’s gross numbers have been OK so far – 11 passing TDs, a two-point conversion, and a rushing TD in seven games, plus 207 yards per game – but he’s not a fantasy starter when you compare him to guys below him on the list like Ben Roethlisberger (or guys off the list like Joe Flacco). Cutler still has upside, and his receivers are improving, but right now he hasn’t earned this ranking as a starting fantasy quarterback. Verdict: A fraud

11. Matt Ryan, Falcons – Ryan’s numbers are OK – 11 passing touchdowns and one rushing TD in six games, plus 227 passing yards per game. If you’re starting Ryan in a larger league, you have a lower-level starting quarterback, but that’s what this ranking foretold. Ryan hasn’t exceeded our expectations, but he has met them, and he should continue to do so with Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez on board. Verdict: Applaud

12. Carson Palmer, Bengals – Palmer’s 5-touchdown game against the Bears this week makes his numbers look much better. On the whole, in 7 games he has 13 passing touchdowns, a two-point conversion, and a rushing touchdown, plus 230 yards per game. Those numbers, like Matt Ryan’s, are OK for a marginal starter in a larger league or for a top-quality backup. Palmer’s performance has been more up and down, but on the whole he was ranked pretty much in the right spot. Verdict: Applaud

13. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers – Big Ben has been better than a fantasy backup this year, with 11 passing TDs and two rushing touchdowns plus 295 passing yards per game. The Steelers are relying on Big Ben’s big arm much more this year than they have in past years, and his corps of targets is better than ever. He’s a fantasy starter now, and that means he’s surpassed the ranking we gave him before the season. Verdict: Applaud

14. Matt Hasselbeck, Seahawks – Injury risk caused us to rank Hasselbeck lower than we thought his production might merit this season, and that caveat saved us from an even bigger mistake. In the four games he’s played in, he has seven passing touchdowns and 182 passing yards per game, but that’s just OK, even at this level. Plus, his offensive line is still beaten up, which doesn’t bode well. If you have a marginal quarterback and Hasselbeck as your backup, you’re not feeling too secure right now. And that means we must give him a thumbs down in fantasy terms. Verdict: A fraud

15. Brett Favre, Vikings – It was hard for us to decide where to rank Favre before the season, and we finally settled at this spot – a mid-level producer among NFL starters. He’s been a little better than that with 12 touchdowns in seven games plus 240 yards per game. Favre is still only a marginal fantasy starter, but given this rating he’s lived up to expectations. So the 40-year-old Spanx gets a hand clap. Verdict: Applaud

 

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